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Surprise, Arizona

6/11/2010

Surprise, Arizona (population 92,000) is a booming city is nestled next to the White Tank Mountains on the northwestern outskirts of Phoenix and is home to a significant number of retirees.  In fact, of the population, 25% is age 45 to 64, and 25% is age 65 or better.  The median age is 46, higher than the national median.   The average cost of living is approximately 5% below the national average, 

Originally founded in 1938 as a development for agricultural workers, today Surprise is a great spot for lots of recreational choices, a hot, dry climate and some great housing deals.  This has been a boom town, growing 180% in the last 10 years, and 85% of its housing has been built since 1995.  Today, the median home price is $155,000, down nearly 25% within the last year and down roughly 50% since 2006.   

The housing situation in Surprise is a mixed bag.  The city was overbuilt before the Great Recession, and today foreclosures are a continuing problem.  Inventory in Surprise is starting to shrink, however, and whereas 12 months ago homes sat an average of 6 months before selling, today that timeframe has dropped to 3 months.  Most buyers are receiving the final asking price.   Prices are stabilizing but that is partly because most home sales are short sales or foreclosures and these prices have been factored into the market.    Homes selling for less than $200,000 are getting multiple offers, but many of these buyers are investors.   An area particularly hard hit by foreclosures is the 85379 zip code on the southern end of the city where close to 50% of the homes are in some state of foreclosure.

The city is being pro-active when it comes to vacant properties and has instituted an action plan that includes working with lenders to keep owners in their homes.  While some cities seem resigned to letting vacant properties destabilize neighborhoods, Surprise officials are taking action to maintain the city's quality of life.  This is important because expectations are that Surprise's population may rival that of Phoenix within 10 years. 

Despite the iffy housing situation, retirees (and others) continue to come here, and Sun City Grand is a popular 55+ community within city limits (homes start at $100,000).  New infrastructure is being built to accommodate the increasing population and includes a new 10,000 sq. ft. aquatics center, a new state-of-the-art library, new museums and a new city center with new government offices, movie theaters and retail outlets planned. Shopping, movie theaters and restaurants are all in good supply.  The city has eight golf courses, four recreation centers, a small lake and is home to Surprise Stadium where the Texas Rangers and KC Royals hold spring practices.  Even during these rough economic times, residents talk about how well-kept the city is (although some complain about the dust).   The crime rate meets the national average.

The Surprise Senior Center, open Monday - Friday, is operated by the city and is the hub of activities for citizens age 60+  and for disabled adults.  The fee is $10 per year. A fitness center, hot meals, classes and more are available.    

Banner Del E. Webb Medical Center, a 404-bed facility, is just 5 minutes away and offers acute medical and surgical care, critical care, emergency care, general surgery, orthopedic surgery, heart care, cancer care, obstetrics and gynecology, outpatient services, rehabilitation services, stroke care and adult behavioral services.

Summer daytime temperatures often exceed 100 degrees, but every building is air conditioned.  Winter temperatures are in the 50s, 60s and 70s.   Humidity is practically non-existent, and there is very little rain or wind.  Just lots of heat, sunny blue skies and some amazing sunsets.

Surprise has its drawbacks.  The foreclosure situation may be stabilizing but foreclosures are still a concern.   Infrastructure is keeping up with growth except when it comes to roads.  There are not many of them from Surprise to Phoenix, and commuting can be a "nightmare."     Luke Air Force Base is not too far away, and noise from military jets rattles some residents.  The air quality is well below the national average.

Recommended as a Retirement Spot?

Mostly yes.....

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Traffic congestion, low air quality and a continuing (but slowing) foreclosure problem should be considered, but dry weather, affordable housing, a well-run government, a moderate crime rate and new amenities make this a potential spot for retirement. 


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